Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 40.535391 46.192480 52.386369 59.676530 68.029321 77.308915 88.411727
2024-12-15 35.773993 43.979539 53.690648 66.054204 81.410835 99.903369 123.931457
2024-12-22 31.205231 41.098893 53.667537 70.863634 93.873352 123.732478 165.637274
2024-12-29 28.148812 39.561419 55.063975 77.777872 110.413764 155.921350 224.735144
2025-01-05 24.629903 36.785660 54.368788 81.852081 124.101043 187.194931 289.688120
2025-01-12 20.839186 32.936535 51.492290 82.310742 132.803923 213.273604 353.238316
2025-01-19 17.939277 29.907438 49.311477 83.452081 142.896361 243.724613 431.053345
2025-01-26 16.224710 28.473793 49.423678 88.402945 160.411886 290.228707 547.575518
2025-02-02 14.881311 27.424915 50.001718 94.322017 181.004565 346.770950 696.796546
2025-02-09 13.276154 25.607621 48.886230 96.942835 196.124012 396.681575 846.388165
2025-02-16 11.507182 23.153277 46.133408 95.854275 203.768787 433.746786 979.545991
2025-02-23 10.042185 21.031389 43.647042 94.820876 211.374154 472.615186 1127.558368
2025-03-02 8.891014 19.390108 41.937962 95.336766 223.092473 524.635462 1324.536765
2025-03-09 8.016182 18.184806 40.949447 97.320323 238.866304 590.430605 1576.697938
2025-03-16 7.166079 16.876599 39.493034 97.935968 251.649956 652.641693 1840.153379
2025-03-23 6.648782 16.252048 39.517531 102.254938 275.120148 748.911170 2230.994586
2025-03-30 6.020006 15.236176 38.403430 103.429972 290.639802 828.318920 2600.191670
2025-04-06 5.293938 13.836239 36.055733 100.786207 294.918523 877.395539 2893.094181
2025-04-13 4.737417 12.775335 34.391140 99.697658 303.573710 942.189964 3261.639081
2025-04-20 4.442801 12.370602 34.430692 103.621272 328.744645 1066.024725 3881.774324
2025-04-27 4.220116 12.126203 34.878034 108.926288 359.935698 1219.202933 4669.649222
2025-05-04 3.900579 11.540034 34.222201 110.632612 379.767850 1340.142624 5383.168322
2025-05-11 3.502757 10.644552 32.467135 108.356365 385.298703 1412.332497 5930.451911